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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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MANCHESTER UNITED
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Manchester United's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Saturday, March 2, 2013 | 4331.11 |
| 2009 | Saturday, March 7, 2009 | 4328.21 |
| 2007 | Saturday, March 31, 2007 | 4317.03 |
| 2008 | Saturday, March 29, 2008 | 4309.43 |
| 2012 | Saturday, December 29, 2012 | 4305.22 |
| 2010 | Monday, August 16, 2010 | 4302.93 |
| 2011 | Tuesday, September 20, 2011 | 4301.38 |
| 2006 | Saturday, December 9, 2006 | 4299.37 |
| 2001 | Sunday, February 25, 2001 | 4285.60 |
| 2000 | Saturday, November 25, 2000 | 4285.47 |
| 2005 | Saturday, March 19, 2005 | 4283.80 |
| 2018 | Sunday, April 29, 2018 | 4282.97 |
| 2003 | Saturday, October 18, 2003 | 4278.14 |
| 2021 | Sunday, May 9, 2021 | 4275.54 |
| 2004 | Wednesday, January 7, 2004 | 4274.04 |
A list of the worst 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1934 | Friday, March 30, 1934 | 3688.52 |
| 1902 | Friday, March 28, 1902 | 3693.69 |
| 1933 | Saturday, December 30, 1933 | 3738.23 |
| 1932 | Saturday, January 23, 1932 | 3742.86 |
| 1903 | Saturday, March 7, 1903 | 3752.05 |
| 1931 | Saturday, November 7, 1931 | 3767.33 |
| 1894 | Saturday, September 8, 1894 | 3769.75 |
| 1896 | Monday, March 23, 1896 | 3769.99 |
| 1901 | Tuesday, April 9, 1901 | 3770.44 |
| 1924 | Saturday, April 5, 1924 | 3773.19 |
| 1930 | Saturday, October 25, 1930 | 3782.91 |
| 1922 | Monday, December 25, 1922 | 3794.82 |
| 1897 | Saturday, January 9, 1897 | 3796.59 |
| 1899 | Saturday, April 1, 1899 | 3799.29 |
| 1895 | Saturday, April 27, 1895 | 3801.35 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Manchester United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United (3809) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (4117) Wednesday, January 28, 1931 |
-178.5 | 26.4% | 4-1 | +25.8 |
| Manchester United (3784) vs. Blackburn Rovers (4068) Monday, March 12, 1894 |
-153.2 | 29.3% | 5-1 | +26.5 |
| Manchester United (3837) vs. Preston North End (4109) Saturday, April 1, 1893 |
-156.4 | 28.9% | 2-1 | +14.2 |
| Manchester United (3789) vs. Derby County (4059) Saturday, December 13, 1930 |
-140.0 | 30.9% | 2-1 | +13.8 |
| Manchester United (4113) vs. Liverpool (4379) Monday, August 22, 2022 |
-229.2 | 21.1% | 2-1 | +15.8 |
| Manchester City (4027) vs. Manchester United (3764) Friday, April 10, 1903 |
-401.2 | 9.0% | 0-2 | +27.3 |
| Manchester City (4382) vs. Manchester United (4126) Wednesday, January 29, 2020 |
-295.8 | 15.4% | 0-1 | +16.9 |
| Manchester United (3927) vs. Liverpool (4181) Saturday, November 11, 1972 |
-153.6 | 29.2% | 2-0 | +21.2 |
| Manchester United (3768) vs. Liverpool (4007) Saturday, February 7, 1903 |
-101.3 | 35.8% | 2-1 | +12.8 |
| Manchester City (4384) vs. Manchester United (4152) Saturday, December 7, 2019 |
-271.4 | 17.3% | 1-2 | +16.5 |
| Manchester United (4010) vs. Liverpool (4233) Wednesday, October 31, 1990 |
-147.1 | 30.0% | 3-1 | +21.0 |
| Leeds United (4170) vs. Manchester United (3961) Wednesday, April 18, 1973 |
-309.8 | 14.4% | 0-1 | +17.1 |
| Manchester United (4033) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4240) Monday, January 16, 1961 |
-103.3 | 35.6% | 2-0 | +19.3 |
| Manchester United (3783) vs. Birmingham City (3974) Saturday, November 1, 1930 |
-61.4 | 41.3% | 2-0 | +17.6 |
| Manchester United (3991) vs. Ipswich Town (4181) Saturday, March 21, 1981 |
-90.5 | 37.3% | 2-1 | +12.5 |
| Manchester United (4050) vs. Liverpool (4237) Saturday, April 5, 1980 |
-83.1 | 38.3% | 2-1 | +12.3 |
| Manchester United (4170) vs. Manchester City (4352) Sunday, March 8, 2020 |
-143.2 | 30.5% | 2-0 | +20.9 |
| Manchester United (3988) vs. Everton (4170) Saturday, August 31, 1963 |
-78.1 | 38.9% | 5-1 | +22.9 |
| Manchester United (3998) vs. Liverpool (4177) Saturday, September 13, 1969 |
-73.5 | 39.6% | 1-0 | +12.1 |
| Manchester United (4022) vs. Arsenal (4198) Friday, August 20, 1971 |
-74.3 | 39.5% | 3-1 | +18.2 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Manchester United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend United (3674) vs. Manchester United (4291) Tuesday, November 7, 2006 |
+564.6 | 96.3% | 1-0 | -9.6 |
| Derby County (3757) vs. Manchester United (4302) Wednesday, January 7, 2009 |
+497.4 | 94.6% | 1-0 | -18.9 |
| Manchester United (4180) vs. York City (3651) Wednesday, September 20, 1995 |
+597.7 | 96.9% | 0-3 | -17.0 |
| Manchester United (4281) vs. Coventry City (3757) Wednesday, September 26, 2007 |
+573.4 | 96.4% | 0-2 | -14.5 |
| Milton Keynes Dons (3655) vs. Manchester United (4156) Tuesday, August 26, 2014 |
+460.3 | 93.4% | 4-0 | -17.5 |
| AFC Bournemouth (3591) vs. Manchester United (4085) Saturday, January 7, 1984 |
+401.9 | 91.0% | 2-0 | -27.3 |
| Norwich City (3594) vs. Manchester United (4063) Saturday, January 10, 1959 |
+364.1 | 89.1% | 3-0 | -31.2 |
| Manchester United (4276) vs. Crystal Palace (3808) Wednesday, November 30, 2011 |
+513.9 | 95.1% | 1-2 | -19.0 |
| Manchester United (4280) vs. Leeds United (3865) Sunday, January 3, 2010 |
+460.1 | 93.4% | 0-1 | -9.3 |
| Norwich City (3871) vs. Manchester United (4276) Saturday, April 9, 2005 |
+344.8 | 87.9% | 2-0 | -26.4 |
| Huddersfield Town (3860) vs. Manchester United (4252) Saturday, October 21, 2017 |
+353.3 | 88.4% | 2-1 | -17.7 |
| Burnley (3911) vs. Manchester United (4302) Wednesday, August 19, 2009 |
+345.8 | 88.0% | 1-0 | -17.6 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (3901) vs. Manchester United (4289) Saturday, February 5, 2011 |
+342.9 | 87.8% | 2-1 | -17.6 |
| Manchester United (3972) vs. Swindon Town (3589) Saturday, January 11, 1930 |
+512.7 | 95.0% | 0-2 | -28.5 |
| Manchester United (4127) vs. Norwich City (3746) Saturday, February 18, 1967 |
+484.2 | 94.2% | 1-2 | -18.8 |
| Manchester United (4137) vs. Hull City (3757) Saturday, January 12, 1952 |
+475.3 | 93.9% | 0-2 | -28.2 |
| Manchester United (4278) vs. West Bromwich Albion (3900) Sunday, April 15, 2018 |
+416.8 | 91.7% | 0-1 | -18.3 |
| Ipswich Town (3818) vs. Manchester United (4196) Saturday, September 24, 1994 |
+308.3 | 85.5% | 3-2 | -17.1 |
| Wigan Athletic (3920) vs. Manchester United (4298) Wednesday, April 11, 2012 |
+332.1 | 87.1% | 1-0 | -17.4 |
| Stoke City (3801) vs. Manchester United (4175) Wednesday, September 22, 1993 |
+302.3 | 85.1% | 2-1 | -8.5 |
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The twenty teams that Manchester United are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Manchester United are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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